Thursday, June 4, 2020
Covid19 simulation model
We are a group of operations researchers from Columbia, Cornell, UNC and USC. We built a simulation model to predict the evolution of Covid19 in NYC under different scenarios for testing capacity and social distancing norms. We will use this blog to give updates, observations and predictions based on our model. We are also planning to use our model to predict the evolution of the pandemic in the Research Triangle region in NC. We hope that we can use our model to give some insight as the country experiments with different options to reopen. A full paper that describes our model and preliminary findings is available here.
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Can we flatten the curve in North Carolina?
Our paper on North Carolina is now available here . My last few posts essentially give a summary of the paper but all the details including ...
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Here are predictions of the trajectory of the pandemic in NYC under different approaches for reopening. The charts show daily deaths, with t...
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Here are a few plots that compare the predictions of the model against the actual trajectory of the pandemic so far. In these plots, we stop...
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We have been working on using our model for North Carolina, where hospitalizations have been increasing consistently. We will be sharing...
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